Quote for the Day 7/29/08
I know that Barack Obama is a near-perfect political package. I'm still not sure, though, what's in it.
- Richard Cohen, left-wing columnist, Washington Post
Here are my observations of the world around us.
My Goal: Too much prejudice in this world - and not just racial. Religious and especially political prejudice is more prevalent and more harmful. The blogosphere has added to that and I want to subtract from it. Here's some of my life and the things I'm interested in. You can find more info in my Permanent File. Click on the Categories under Blog Index to the Right.
I know that Barack Obama is a near-perfect political package. I'm still not sure, though, what's in it.
Posted by Jack Le Moine at 9:49 AM 0 comments
Labels: Just Babble
The toughest interrogation of Obama came from CBS anchor Katie Couric in Jordan last Tuesday. She asked four times whether the troop surge he had opposed was instrumental in reducing violence in Iraq. Obama answered straight from talking points by citing "the great effort of our young men and women in uniform." That sounded like the old politics. He would have sounded more like a new politician if he had simply said, "Yes, the strategy did work." That would have infuriated antiwar activists but not enough for them to drop Obama.
My Views: Obama doesn’t bug me so much as the obvious media bias. This also occurred in the Clinton campaigns. While the press did give him a hard time, too, that was not in 1992 or 1996. In the run-up to the elections, they always seem to give the Democrat candidates an easy ride.
None of this can explain why Republicans have such a hard time getting their act together.
Here’s Novak’s essay.
Disclaimer: The book pictured is Novak's memoir. This gives you a picture of the book, of him, and an idea of what it costs. The fact that I will be compensated if you click on the link and buy the book turns this post into a semi-advertisement. I only will link to Amazon.com for books I actually liked.
Posted by Jack Le Moine at 11:26 AM 0 comments
Labels: Politics
Posted by Jack Le Moine at 6:15 PM 0 comments
Labels: Chess
A couple of days ago, I posted about recent books I've been reading. The 1632 series is particularly interesting. This exerpt is from Chapter 5. This is when the 20th. Century Americans first find out where they really are - and when!
Posted by Jack Le Moine at 12:06 PM 0 comments
Labels: Books
Here's three books I read in the last few weeks.
I’ve been reading the Harry Potter books for the second time. There’s a certain charm to them. It is an indefinable something that exists outside of the regular categories of character, plot, scene, etc. I find myself turning the pages, caught up in the HP universe despite the glaring problems with the plot.
Dumbledore, McGonagle, and the other grownups in these stories have to be the most stupid people! All of these things happening in their school and they seem to be clueless. Why would they leave these children to face these dangers while they sit back? There are excuses in some instances - Harry gets information that is unavailable to the grownups – but for the most part, the professors are in a far better position, at the start, to address the problems then the children are. And even in those cases where the kids possess info that the grownups don’t, then why don’t they share information? The grownups certainly have not acted in such a way as to invite the kids to enlist their aid in their various scrapes. And I’m looking at you, Dumbledore!
The author has to move the grownups to the background in order to have the kids do the action and so the reader overlooks the glaring problems with the plotting in order to enjoy the story. One thing is always happening after another; there’s always some immediate problem that the children must solve; so the pages keep turning.
Posted by Jack Le Moine at 1:56 AM 0 comments
Labels: Books
Summary: A forum of the American Physical Society, an organization representing nearly 50,000 physicists, no longer believes in the evidence supporting human-induced global warming.
Quote:
Monckton, who was the science advisor to Britain's Thatcher administration, says natural variability is the cause of most of the Earth's recent warming. "In the past 70 years the Sun was more active than at almost any other time in the past 11,400 years ... Mars, Jupiter, Neptune’s largest moon, and Pluto warmed at the same time as Earth."
Posted by Jack Le Moine at 7:33 AM 1 comments
Labels: Science
Gregory Alexander and Nikolai Pilafov have been working on a viewer that will allow people to display chess games together with annotations and variations. It is like ChessBase or Chess Assistant, only it works in Java on the net.
While it is now fully functional on Susan Polgar's Chess Discussion Forums, it is not ready yet for some blogs such as mine or even Susan's own. The problem is the width limits in blogspot's display templates. I suggested that the score sheet be displayed under the chess board instead of to the side.
Until Susan's team can perfect the tool, one workaround for blogspot folks like us is to set up a separate blog without layouts. Blogspot users can use the Simple II template. Then link to that blog like this.
This is a game between Judit Polgar (Susan's sister) and Vishy Arnand (the World Champ) in 1999. As you can see, this is an awsome tool for chess bloggers.
Better yet, chess bloggers can just link direct to Chess Discussion.
Posted by Jack Le Moine at 8:40 PM 0 comments
Labels: Chess
Posted by Jack Le Moine at 6:05 PM 0 comments
Labels: Science
These are stories in the news that have much more significance than they’ve received. These stories should have been the leading news items of their day. Their significance extends beyond just a particular area and beyond just a particular news cycle.
Posted by Jack Le Moine at 8:36 PM 0 comments
Labels: Politics
So I got done early from an accounting job. I went to the local Barnes and Noble to kill some time. So, there I was sitting in a chair on the 2nd. floor reading a book when who happens by but Karen Rice. She works there. Friends and acquaintances will remember her from the Literary Roundtable.
This was a club of writers. We met to read our works to one another and to critique them for each other. I was President of the club for one year. Unfortunately for me, business got the better of me and I had to drop out.
Writing had been a goal of mine for practically all of my life. I was working on a book about Churchill while I was in the club. Karen was a promising writer herself as well as being the editor of our club's newsletter.
So, I ask her, "Lowly salesperson, will you please fetch me a copy of the works of Karen Rice?" She grins and says that that book's out of print. I say to her, that this is too bad as she was a great writer. We talked some and then I suggested she read my blog.
I didn't tell her about how I got sidetracked by chess. I guess she'll figure it out. Get back to that writing, Karen!
Oh, and about that book I was reading? It was about Churchill.
Posted by Jack Le Moine at 6:20 PM 0 comments
Labels: My Life
Yes, this game is incredibly stupid! So, can you beat it?
Posted by Jack Le Moine at 10:06 AM 0 comments
Labels: Culture
Veteran users of this forum will remember the lengthy discussions in the spring of last year about the profitability of the USCF for FY 2007. We will remember the assertions of Sloan, Donna and others that the projected loss for the year would be $300,000 and the assertions by Bill G, Joel, Nolan, Grant P, and others that it would be somewhat less. What everyone agreed on was that the current amounts were unknowable until the auditors made the year-end adjustment for accrued membership revenues. This adjustment would be made well after the year ended. The consensus of all was that the margin of error in their estimates ran from $300,000 to zero. Donna and Sloan claimed a much higher margin but that was what Bill G, Nolan, and their crowd admitted to. In fact, the auditors reported out a small net profit for the year.
A lot of us outside observers thought that this was a very large margin of error. More significant, was the inability of the USCF to track profitability on an interim basis. (The issue of public reporting and transparency was a side issue to many of us.) What was important was management’s claim that not even they knew the true situation of the USCF’s profitability during the course of the year.
Management responded to concerns by saying that (a) the business was seasonal in nature and (b) membership accounting was too hard and costly. They also said that they were working on improvements. This was difficult for me to swallow whole because (a) the USCF is hardly the only business in the world that is seasonal in nature and (b) the USCF is hardly the only membership organization in the world, either. We wonder how come other organizations can keep track of their finances but the USCF can’t. 10% of a $3 million business is a pretty large margin of unknowability.
I gather from the statements made by Grant and Nolan in this thread that a custom routine is being written for their stand-alone membership DB that will generate a summary journal entry that can then be entered into the General Ledger Peachtree program by hand. This entire approach seems strange to me.
Let’s say I want to buy a car. Now I am sure that if Mike Nolan were to contract with me to build me a car, I am sure he would provide (after some time to be sure) a very nice custom built car that would exactly fit me and my needs. He would design it; he would clear out space in his garage to build it; and then it would be great. Heck, he would even drive it from Nebraska to Atlanta to deliver it to me. Or, I could just go down the street and buy a car off the dealer’s lot. I wonder what Nolan would charge me for his car?
What’s more expensive: buying specially designed stuff or store-bought stuff?
Grant Perks, chair of the Audit Committee responded to my questions yesterday on the USCF Forum. Thank you, Grant! He said, “Based on my previous discussions with Mike Nolan, he was writing a script that will generate a report of the deferred balance at the end of a period. From this report the journal entry can be calculated and booked to Peachtree. This method might lead to additional cost at year end since in addition to auditing the general ledger the auditors will likely have to audit the membership database.”
I responded with these points:
(a) Mike Nolan is doing all of this work for free?Grant is supporting an accounting change. I don’t understand why the delegates have to be involved in such a technical issue. We’re talking about simply conforming to generally accepted accounting principles here.
(b) How can auditing the numbers possibly be more expensive than the auditors developing them and then auditing them?
(c) Are you saying that the numbers from previous years do not come from actual DB’s of actual members paying actual money in actual transactions?
(d) If reported membership accruals in the past have not been coming from the above, then where have they been coming from?
(e) Assuming that the auditors calculated the year-end accrual from some schedule, they would audit that schedule, right? To avoid garbage in, garbage out. That schedule would be based upon something else, right? As the auditors drill down through the paperwork, they would eventually reach an actual DB representing actual members with actual transactions, right? Are you saying that they don’t – that the examination of the membership DB or some equivalent would be new?
What does “CAN DO THE JOB” mean? If it can do the job (I presume you capitalized the letters in order to emphasize this point), then why write script for a separate DB? Why even have a separate DB at all? Why did Grant make a point about the 5,000 entries per month? Do you mean by “CAN DO THE JOB” that it does great jobs other than accruing revenues?
As with many organizations, the USCF uses a variety of “shadow systems” (such as Excel spreadsheets) for accounting and reporting purposes. While functional, they do not integrate data; as we build new systems and integrate processes, we need to ensure that we can do our routine financial reporting and queries within our actual financial systems, such as our Peachtree accounting system. Only by getting these systems integrated and functional for reporting purposes will we be able to ensure the accuracy of the data.Source of quote
Posted by Jack Le Moine at 7:38 AM 1 comments
Mike Nolan of the USCF commented on Wednesday's post in the USCF Forum. He said that this would be a radical departure from current USCF practices.
What people may not understand is that each year, ongoing discussion about USCF finances are mooted by the large uncertainty of what the revenues are going to be reported. Last year, management continually stated that revenues would not be known until the auditors made the annual year-end adjustment.
But what is this adjustment and how do the auditors figure the amount?
What they have to do is to arrive at year end figure I did in the below post for all the members. They have to perform elaborate calculations in order to do this.
There are two problems with this approach: (1) More work has to be done at the back end by high priced labor (auditors) because the USCF does not do the necessary work at the front end by lower proced labor (bookkeepers using software) and (2) the USCF does not know it's true financial picture until after the year is over.
In short, the USCF has to play the game without knowing whether it is a pawn ahead or a pawn (or 2 pawns or more!) behind. Even after the game is over, it cannot look back at the score sheet and see how it was doing in the earlier phases of the game.
Posted by Jack Le Moine at 2:55 AM 0 comments
Posted by Jack Le Moine at 2:56 AM 0 comments
Labels: Business
Here's my quickie version of how this would be done.
Assumptions: Donna pays $80 in May, 2008 for a 2 year membership. To simplify accounting, USCF policy is to count partial month as full month.
Entry in May, 2008.Then each succeeding month for the next 24 months 1/24 of the Donna's money is reclassified from deferred to actual revenue by the following entry.
Debit: Cash $80.00
Credit: Deferred Revenue $80.00
To record receipt of money from Donna A. for 2 years membership dues.
Debit: Deferred Revenue $3.33So at December 31, 2008 Donna's account will look like this:
Credit: Membership Revenues $3.33
To recognize revenues earned from Donna A's 2 years membership payment.
Deferred Revenue: $53.36 (80.00 - 26.64)At the end of May, 2009 the USCF closes it's books for the fiscal year end. That means that all the Revenue and Expense accounts are reset back to zero. But the monthly entry stays the same.
Membership Rev: 26.64 (8 months x 3.33 per month)
Donna's Total: $80.00 (53.36 + 26.64)
Debit: Deferred Revenue $3.33So, for June, 2009, here's what Donna's account will look like:
Credit: Membership Revenues $3.33
To recognize revenues earned from Donna A's 2 years membership payment.
Deferred Revenue: $36.67 (subtract 13 months x 3.33 per month = 43.33 from 80.00)Fund Balance is an equity account where the total of the previous years' revenues and expenses are closed to at the end of each year. And yes, since 40 does not divide by 12 evenly, there's going to be some rounding.
Actual Revenue: 3.33
Fund Balance: 40.00 (12 months x 3.33 per month)
Posted by Jack Le Moine at 10:26 PM 1 comments
These are stories in the news that have much more significance than they’ve received. These stories should have been the leading news items of their day. Their significance extends beyond just a particular area and beyond just a particular news cycle.
- - - - -
Ireland Rejects Treaty but European Union Will Grows in Power Anyway
- - - - -
The European Union has already assumed many of the functions of a nation state. It has a capital, Brussels, it has a President, and it has a Parliament. It has a currency, the Euro. Like the Euro, its laws are supplanting the laws of most of the nations of Europe.
It still lacks a Constitution. The Original Constitution was turned down by voters in France, Holland and other countries. The statesmen of Europe decided to get around the voters by getting the same thing done by Treaty instead of a formal Constitution.
The trouble this scenario is that Ireland has a requirement it it's own Constitution that any treaty that would change it's government would require a vote by the people. So the Treaty was put to a vote and then defeated.
- - - - -
Here is the story in The American Spectator.
- - - - -
Why this is significant:
First, Europe is rapidly coalescing into one big super-state to rival the United States.
Second, it is based upon elitism and bureaucracy and not democracy. This is a milestone in the path.
Posted by Jack Le Moine at 1:34 PM 0 comments
Labels: Politics
In a dramatic challenge to President Goichberg and the rest of her opponents, Susan Polgar offered to resign from the USCF Executive Board Monday provided they (1) "give me the FULL CONSENT to release all information to ALL USCF members" and (2) " If I cannot prove what I said is true then I will resign immediately."The other half of the challenge: "However, if I can prove that what I said is true then President Goichberg would resign from the board immediately."
Read the thread for the "what I said" part. These statements contain significant revelations.
Polgar has been complaining for months that she possesses major information that she is unable to disclose to the public only because of Board confidentiality requirements. On the other hand, she has also stated in the past that she has had to withhold information on the advice of her lawyer, so the stonewalling cannot be laid entirely at Bill Goichberg's door.
The gist of Polgar's point is that if the information were revealed, then people could see that it was her side that was trying to get the truth out about the scandal and the other side that was not. If this point were to be proved, this would still not prove Truong's innocence as the fake Sam Sloan. However, it would definetely target the finger of suspicion to other directions.
These statements also affects the recall effort on Paul Truong. It is based on "breach of fiduciary duty" - he allegedly failed to disclose information to the USCF attorney defending the organization against Sloan's lawsuit. If, in fact, other Board Members and staff were leaking information to Sloan, then this disclosure would certainly trump the Truong issue. Failure to disclose needed information versus providing confidential information to legal adversaries.
The most significant part of these developments is that far from relying on "reasonable doubt" and such-like escapes, Polgar has boldly assumed the burden of proof on several key aspects of the simmering scandal.
Posted by Jack Le Moine at 6:36 PM 0 comments
Labels: Chess